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Three nuclear dangers

After years of negotiations on its nuclear program, one thing is now clear: the Iranian regime is not willing to give up its nuclear program. His interest goes back years, does not respond to bravado cyclical or a strategic necessity. Statements by the Iranian regime accountable leaves no doubt: they do not want any treatment and feel that their right to nuclear program is non-negotiable. This is the message I have for years been sending to the international community.

Currently, the Iranians are having some technical difficulties with the centrifuges, which are functioning below what is necessary to achieve the degree of enrichment for military use. International sanctions are hindering the program, but not paralyzed. However, it is indisputable that Iran is inching toward its goal. The most pessimistic estimates speak of two years and the most optimistic of ten.

need start thinking about what to do about a possibility that is growing. Regional and global implications of a nuclear Iran especially with a regime like that of the ayatollahs, make that scenario is totally unacceptable, drawing each one worse scenarios.

In the best case scenario, Iran would use the pump only as a deterrence against its enemies or rivals in the West or in any other area. If so, would push their Sunni neighbors to seek a strategic balance, rearming. Enemies, adversaries and rivals, would endow themselves with nuclear weapons. Even if it used the weapon to either "classic", a nuclear Iran to fuel nuclear proliferation in the area, with multiple and unstable actors. Actors

multiple and unstable, each one with a limited nuclear arsenal, which derive nuclear strategy of nuclear deterrence strategy of the first and only hit. Thus, the risk of humanity becomes involved for the first time ever in a nuclear war would be high, and subject to strategic and political instability in the area.

The second option is that Tehran had worse intentions regarding its nuclear program. In this case, you could put Hezbollah in Lebanon or Hamas in Gaza under its nuclear umbrella. And put Israel in an impossible position, handcuffed in their defense, with terrorist groups to operate freely and enjoying the Iranian nuclear umbrella. The strengthening of these Islamist groups would be a fact, to be followed by strengthening of other Islamic groups in the area.

The third scenario is even more dangerous to Western countries, and involves the possibility of nuclear components to Iran provide Islamic terrorism. You could use the atomic bomb without having to give up for it. There is the real possibility of an atomic holocaust in Europe or America, or even to vaporize Israel with a nuclear, paralyzing step possible European response.

combinations between the three scenarios are manifold. The possibility of a military response is real, although the problem is the political management, especially with the internal situation and the election calendar of the countries involved. Unfortunately, the chances of the international community are closing as time passes. Every time when it counts more on the how.

Source: Digital Freedom

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The priority of a public subsidy to pollution

The BBC is cited as an example of successful public company, over and over again, and another example of good media company, the quality of their programs and the independence and prestige of their news. But what we do with the BBC in Mexico? A government enterprise like any other hostage of its officers and employees, the service itself basically.

a litmus test: Would you allow a public company makes money, lay off thousands of workers to streamline its operation? Of course not: the union and opinion leaders would prevent so great folly. Well, the BBC reported earnings of more than 15.400 billion pesos last year, yet prepares to lay off almost 2,600 workers, over 10% of its workforce, although the restructuring plan will hire several hundred workers (better educated, more needed), for what the net job loss would be only 1,800 workers. In the news area cuts will affect 300 to 400 workers.

How dare you do this, if, as a flagship public company, its priority is not making money?

If we can not answer this question, we'll never understand why a public company can become successful, if we can not answer this question, it is clear that we deserve Channel 11, Channel 22, TV UNAM, SEP Educational Television, Channel of Congress, Judicial Channel, TV Mexiquense, etc., etc., not the BBC. Or to just have heard that some of these public companies earn lots of money and lay off 10% of its staff? Not to mention

PEMEX or CFE, corporations that were privatized all practical purposes many years ago ... by its employees and officials, who handle them as if they were not as public companies, ie of all Mexicans. Company

public: those whose priority is to serve the public, its officers, employees, unions, governments. Believe that the interests of these groups can not always coincide with the interests of the public is irresponsible illusion.

Other information:

The BBC is not subsidized or government budget. (Do you know any Mexican government enterprise that receives no government subsidies or budget?)

The BBC is paid directly to the people watching television, using a monthly income of 240 pesos per month (ie not free). His business sales revenue is relatively low (600 million pounds) compared with what they receive directly from viewers (3.100 million pounds)

In Mexico, a farmer of the saw you buy a product with VAT in a shop in a nearby town is paying for public television channels can not see. Not so the thing in England.

The director of the BBC won 780.000 pounds per year: a little over 16 million pesos. (London is sooo expensive.)

Some stars make a lot more BBC: Jonathan Ross earns 6 million pounds a year, or about 125 million pesos. Graham Norton earn 5 million pounds per year (104 million pesos) and Terry Norton 800 000 (almost 17 million pesos). Despite layoffs in door, none of the major stars of the BBC will be reduced his salary. Cristina Pacheco suspect or Nicholas Alvarado do not earn salaries well. I suspect not even earn the earnings of directors of public television.

The BBC reported revenues of just over 4.000 million pounds in 2005-2006. His expenses were 3.237. Http://www.independent.co.uk/news/media/the-big-question-why-is-the-bbc-cutting-jobs-and-how-will-the-upheaval-affect-its-output

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bbc

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The crisis of American populism

Hugo Chavez, Evo Morales and Rafael Correa proposed pursue a "Bolivarian revolution" in which they promised there would be no violence, would be peaceful and allow for greater prosperity to its population.

In light of the facts, the political regimes that led each agent are in crisis.



Venezuela President Hugo Chavez is perhaps the most symbolic president of the three. It is the most radical of the leaders of the region, while one that has been installed deeper "Bolivarian model."

The paradox, however, is that in the context of record oil prices globally, and being a major world oil exporter, Venezuela's GDP fell last year, no less than 4% ie was reduced by half the growth rate recorded Caracas.

On the other hand, inflation reaches increasingly violent surge, reaching 10% accumulated so far in 2008, with an inflation rate above 25% last year.

Also, price controls that government has imposed only a tendency to have deepened shortages, and generate, in the case of livestock, an exorbitant increase in imports, since the regulations is impossible to have a production meet demand.

On the other hand, are growing daily reports of attacks on the press, freedom of expression and within the ruling party, freedom of dissent. RCTV's case, it is quite illuminating, where opposition to government generated nationalization station.



Bolivia Evo Morales, meanwhile, was one of the pioneers of "Chavez model," or if you will, a follower of the regime "Bolivarian", promising however that the "refound the country" would end the deep polarization that crosses the country.

Unfortunately, this did not happen, but the nationalizations in the oil sector and constitutional amendments that sought to introduce to the Constitution of Bolivia, eventually generating a deeper social breakdown.

While the prefects (governors) opponents, are conducting consultations department to defend the autonomy provided in the Constitution, the ruling party insists on imposing the political model that the ruling party alone in the Constituent Assembly approved, completed last November.

This situation has led to street clashes once again become rife and living conditions deteriorate deeply.

Thus, the regions undertake around five regional consultations while at national level will be a referendum on Morales management. All these measures are before August, and probably none of them resolve the deep crisis facing Bolivia.



Ecuador Rafael Correa, has probably been the quietest of the three cases. Although he never denied his political alignment with the "Bolivarian Alternative", appeared as the most moderate. But the combination of the constitutional process that carried out together with the crisis with Colombia ended up exposing the Ecuadorian crisis.

The draft constitution approved by the Assembly, dominated by the ruling party, where he helps implement the "structural" changes that would make the economy "and social solidarity" must be submitted to a referendum that to prevail, must obtain at least 50% of the vote, something that according to polls, Correa will not succeed, and in the best case scenario garner the support of 41% of the voters.

other hand, the attack by Colombia to the FARC camp in its territory, where Raúl Reyes was killed along with 23 people, initially positioned as a better place for its positive image. But as more details became known of the case the agent was suspected of links with the guerrillas, which to some extent repudiated his political project.

In conclusion, populism in the region is in crisis, resulting from the way that these same governments decided to go with an explosive rhetoric, economic measures ideological character but inefficient and a confrontational policy toward the opposition and to other countries. Populism is in crisis because it has reached the limit of its policy.

Source: Infobae

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